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My 2016 MLB Predictions April 3, 2016

Posted by Mike C. in Baseball, Personal, Sports.
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Previous MLB season predictions: 2015

(12/21/16 UPDATE: Results italicized in parentheses.)

The 2016 Major League Baseball season begins today. That means it’s time for my annual preseason predictions.

NL (National League) East

  1. Nationals (3) (2)
  2. Mets (Wild Card 1)
  3. Phillies (finished 4th)
  4. Braves (finished 5th)
  5. Marlins (finished 3rd)

NL Central

  1. Cardinals (1) (missed playoffs, finished 2nd)
  2. Cubs (Wild Card 1) (won division, 1 seed)
  3. Pirates
  4. Reds (finished 5th)
  5. Brewers (finished 4th)

NL West

  1. Giants (2) (Wild Card 2, finished 2nd)
  2. Dodgers (Wild Card 2) (won division, 3 seed)
  3. Diamondbacks (finished 4th)
  4. Padres (finished 5th)
  5. Rockies (finished 3rd)

AL (American League) East

  1. Red Sox (2) (3)
  2. Yankees (Wild Card 1) (missed playoffs, finished 4th)
  3. Blue Jays (Wild Card 2) (Wild Card 1, finished 2nd)
  4. Orioles (Wild Card 2, finished 3rd)
  5. Rays

AL Central

  1. Royals (1) (missed playoffs, finished 3rd)
  2. Tigers
  3. Indians (won division, 2 seed)
  4. White Sox
  5. Twins

AL West

  1. Astros (3) (missed playoffs, finished 3rd)
  2. Angels (finished 4th)
  3. Rangers (won division, 1 seed)
  4. Mariners (finished 2nd)
  5. Athletics

Playoff predictions:
NL Wild Card Playoff

Cubs defeat Dodgers (Giants defeat Mets)

AL Wild Card Playoff
Blue Jays defeat Yankees (Blue Jays defeat Orioles)

NL Division Series
Cardinals vs. Cubs: Cardinals win 3-0 (Cubs vs. Giants: Cubs win 3-1)
Giants vs. Nationals: Giants win 3-2 (Nationals vs. Dodgers: Dodgers win 3-2)

AL Division Series
Royals vs. Blue Jays: Royals win 3-0 (Rangers vs. Blue Jays: Blue Jays win 3-0)
Red Sox vs. Astros: Red Sox win 3-1 (Indians vs. Red Sox: Indians win 3-0)

NL Championship Series
Cardinals vs. Giants: Cards win 4-2 (Cubs vs. Dodgers: Cubs win 4-2)

AL Championship Series
Royals vs. Red Sox: Royals win 4-1 (Indians vs. Blue Jays: Indians win 4-1)

World Series (AL home field advantage via All-Star Game win) (home field correct; last time decided by All-Star Game; new Collective Bargaining Agreement says team with better record gets home field)
Cardinals vs. Royals: Cardinals win 4-2 (Indians vs. Cubs: Cubs win 4-3)

As you can see, I predict the two teams I don’t like will square off in the World Series for the first time since 1985. But unlike the last time, the team I’ve disliked longer, the Cardinals (since 2006) will prevail. (A classic World Series played out between the Indians and Cubs, both vying to end long championship droughts. The Indians hadn’t won the World Series since 1948; the Cubs hadn’t since 1908. The longer drought was busted as the Cubs prevailed, in spite of blowing a four-run lead in regulation in Game 7, then almost blowing a two-run lead in the bottom of the 10th inning after going ahead in the top of the inning. There was joy in Wrigleyville as, to quote Joe Buck on FOX, “the Cubs…have finally won it all!”. Hallelujah.)

I’m a pessimistic Mets fan, so it’s only fitting that I have them missing the playoffs. I was generous enough to predict second place, but not a Wild Card spot. (They ended up with the first Wild Card spot, but lost late in the game to the Giants. I didn’t watch, but I was disappointed. The fact the Cubs eliminated the Giants in the NLDS eased the disappointment.)

(I’ve decided to give up public preseason predictions for the MLB and NFL. Thanks for reading what I’ve posted.)

Shelly Peiken, Confessions of a Serial Songwriter March 28, 2016

Posted by Mike C. in Audiobooks, Books, Comedy, Football, Music, Personal.
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Posing with Confessions of a Serial Songwriter after I finished reading it

NOTE: This is more of a recounting of my experience leading up to buying the book, and then reading the book, than a review of it. I didn’t want to give too much away.

A few years ago, I added a friend on Facebook via mutual friends. Her name was Shelly Peiken (“PIE-kin”), and she was a native of Freeport, New York. Her mutual friends included my aunts, Randy and Robin, and a few other family friends from Freeport, where I spent much of the first 11 1/2 years of my life. Little did I know that Shelly was an established songwriter, having written “Bitch” for Meredith Brooks and “What a Girl Wants” for Christina Aguilera, among countless others. I mostly listen to instrumentals, having fallen in love with them during the local forecasts on The Weather Channel, but I was as tuned in to mainstream music as the next person.

I first heard – or rather, I saw – “Bitch” sometime in 1997 on a weekly late night NBC show, which aired after Late Night, called Friday Night Videos. Another memory of that song came later that year when my friend Joey sang the chorus as we walked through Splish Splash water park in Riverhead on Labor Day Weekend.

“What a Girl Wants” came to my attention when I was a freshman in college at LIU Post (then C.W. Post). I vividly remember having the bridge to that song in my head during the 1999-2000 NFC Championship Game, as the Buccaneers were driving (unsuccessfully) to regain the lead over the Rams late in the 4th quarter.

I knew Shelly was working on an autobiography, but didn’t know the title, or if it was out, until I noticed a post of hers in my Facebook news feed last Monday. The book is called Confessions of a Serial Songwriter. I headed to Amazon to see the book’s listing (which I linked to in the previous sentence). I contemplated whether or not I should buy it throughout the morning and into the afternoon. I twice watched a video on the listing page where Shelly explained how the book came to be. I didn’t realize until typing this now and searching YouTube that the video was posted over a year and a half ago. For you prospective buyers, here’s the video:

Sold! I bought Confessions… after watching a second time. Since it was Prime eligible, I figured I would have the book by Wednesday, but it didn’t arrive until Friday. Little did I know that my father Bill had also purchased the book. His copy arrived the next day. It sat on the kitchen table, tempting me. Do I dare read his copy before I get mine?

I didn’t succumb to temptation…until Friday morning. I whizzed through 46 pages before putting it back where I found it. By afternoon, my copy had arrived. I read another 19 pages in the afternoon and another 21 pages in the evening. 86 pages in one day! I’ve never read that fast! It helped that I imagined Kevin Pollak narrating the book as I read. He was in my head because I’d been listening to his autobiography on Audible. It’s called How I Slept My Way to the Middle: Secrets and Stories from Stage, Screen, and Interwebs. Plus, I had discovered his long-running chat show, simply titled Kevin Pollak’s Chat Show.

Saturday was another busy reading day. I read 48 pages in the morning, 36 pages in the afternoon, and 16 pages in the evening. Another 98 pages down. Even though it was only 8:06 PM when I completed page 185, I felt tired and went to sleep.

I woke up at sunrise. After watching Kevin Pollak’s interview with Drew Carey, I resumed reading Confessions… I read 42 pages before stopping to craft the first draft of the post you’re reading now. By mid-afternoon, I finished the book! In under 54 hours, I had read all 276 pages, including thank yous, the glossary, the song index, credits, and “about the author.” What an adventure!

There’s more to Shelly than “Bitch” and “What a Girl Wants.” And there’s more to the book than all the songs Shelly wrote. She also goes into the business side of songwriting and the changes it’s undergone in the last 15 years. I highly recommend Confessions of a Serial Songwriter. You won’t be disappointed. Order your copy today.

The rest of winter March 27, 2016

Posted by Mike C. in Personal, Photography, Weather.
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Other than that big blizzard on January 23, it was a relatively quiet winter. Thanks, El Niño.

Now that spring is upon us and the last wet snowflake has melted, let’s look at pictures from three of the last six snow events of the winter.

February 5, nearly a foot of wet snow:
9:05 AM:
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10:20 AM:
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11:30 AM:
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1:31 PM, before shoveling:
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2:26 PM, after shoveling:
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Unfortunately, the wind shook the wet snow off the trees and bushes, undoing part of the shoveling my sister and I had done.

The last time I had to shovel in the winter was a few days later after an inch of snow fell. Mother nature did the work for me the following Monday night and Tuesday. A few inches of snow that had fallen on President’s Day afternoon was washed away by rain and mild temperatures.

March 4, a coating of wet snow:
9:26 AM:
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March 21, two inches of wet snow:
7:42 AM:
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All the snow in those two pictures melted away by afternoon. Until late fall…

Display settings issue resolved March 4, 2016

Posted by Mike C. in Internet.
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Since November, unbeknownst to me, pictures that I uploaded to WordPress did not automatically include a media file link to click on when those pictures are inserted into posts. All this time, the medium size preview images could not be clicked on. Those images only have a width or height of 300 pixels, depending on a picture’s alignment. I noticed the problem yesterday when I viewed my latest post. Last night, I fixed the problem by highlighting pictures in the affected posts, clicking the “edit” icon to view “image details,” and selecting “media file” in the “link to” section of “display settings.”

Here are the fixed posts:
Guest reading at my old elementary school again
January 23 blizzard pictures & video
Lisa Hilton at Carnegie Hall’s Weill Recital Hall: 2016 edition
The Jeff Lorber Fusion at Birdland
Expanding my Christmas album collection again
Fourplay at the Blue Note
Matt Marshak at Houndstooth Pub: 2015 edition

I apologize for the inconvenience of low resolution photos for the last four months. I’ll make sure to link to the media files after I insert pictures into future posts.

Guest reading at my old elementary school again March 3, 2016

Posted by Mike C. in Books, Education, Personal, Photography.
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Other guest reading posts: 2015, 2017, 2018, 2020, 2022

It’s the week of Dr. Seuss‘s birthday, which can only mean one thing: Dr. Seuss Spirit Week at Leo F. Giblyn School in Freeport. Tuesday was the only day devoted to guest readers this year, and I was honored to be invited back after the fun I had last year.

I chose My Many Colored Days as my book, which I read to a few classes, but I was coaxed into reading Gerald McBoing Boing again. I did, reprising all the voices I used last year. I also read I Am Not Going to Get Up Today to an after-school class.

Like last year, I ended up fielding many cartoon character voice requests, plus a few Full/Fuller House characters. My throat was sore by day’s end, but it was worth it to entertain the kids.

When I wasn’t reading and doing impressions, I photographed a few other guest readers.

I’m already looking forward to next year. Until then, I’ll leave with this collage of candid shots taken while I read:
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Quiet February February 21, 2016

Posted by Mike C. in Personal, Weather.
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Since last month’s blizzard, there hasn’t been any major snowfall here on Long Island. There was 6 to 12 inches of wet snow on February 5, a few inches combined on February 8 and 9, and a couple of inches on February 17, but mild air, sunshine, and rain have done their part to melt away the snowfall. As a result, I haven’t had anything to write about for four weeks.

There’s still a month of winter left and I expect at least one more snowstorm, but no more than a foot of snow. When that storm comes, I’ll write about it here.

January 23 blizzard pictures & video January 25, 2016

Posted by Mike C. in Jazz, Music, News, Personal, Photography, Technology, Video, Weather.
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Last Monday, I hinted at the end of my Lisa Hilton post that there could be significant snowfall by the end of the week. And there was.

Whereas the first major storm of last winter was initially supposed to bring up to three feet of snow, then brought half that, this year’s appeared to be destined for six inches at most. But by Thursday night, the forecast began trending toward the worst case scenario. Strong winds were also in play, which brought the flooding fear to waterfront residents and the downed trees and power outages fear to me, an inland resident.

Luckily, the wind wasn’t as bad as I thought it would be. There were a few big gusts in the morning, but that was it.

Below is a photographic timeline of Saturday’s blizzard from eight hours after snow began through a few hours before it ended.

8:11 AM:
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9:50 AM:
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Every few hours, I shoveled the front porch to keep the snow from piling up. I chose to wait until after snow had ended to shovel the rest of the driveway.

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1:18 PM:
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4:14 PM:
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6:28 PM:
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9:26 PM, on my iPhone:
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9:31 PM:
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I tried to go to sleep around 11:30, but I was too eager to shovel. So, with snow still coming down, albeit lightly, I began to shovel the driveway. I made it to the center, the widest part, before giving up.

According to the National Weather Service, 25.1 inches of snow fell in Wantagh, but I measured a few inches less in my driveway.

When I woke up yesterday morning, at around 10:30 AM, I took some pictures:
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Then, it was time to shovel. It took three long hours, with a few short breaks mixed in. But with help from my mom, the task was nearly complete. All that remained, following a shower, was to shovel snow that had been under my dad’s car at the edge of the driveway. That took ten minutes.

These pictures were taken at around 3PM, after that last bit of shoveling:
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I usually shovel the sidewalk up to the property line, but there was so much snow that I didn’t bother.

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Over the next few days, daytime high temperatures are forecast to be above freezing, perfect for melting. Good.

There are snow showers in the forecast for Thursday night into Friday with little accumulation expected. I hope that forecast stands.

I’ll leave you with the video timeline shot on my Panasonic HC-V770 and iPhone 6 (with an Otterbox Defender case):

Lisa Hilton at Carnegie Hall’s Weill Recital Hall: 2016 edition January 18, 2016

Posted by Mike C. in Baseball, Jazz, Music, Personal, Photography, Sports, Travel, Weather.
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Previous Lisa Hilton recaps: June 2011, January 2014, January 2015
Later recaps: January 2018, January 2019

The second show I’ve attended in 2016 – the first was the Jeff Lorber Fusion, ten nights earlier – continued an annual tradition: Lisa Hilton at Carnegie Hall’s Weill Recital Hall. Yesterday’s performance marked her third year in Weill and I’ve been in the audience every time.

Like last year, I got a ride to the Wantagh LIRR station at around noon. Once there, I bought a round trip off peak ticket and waited for the 12:18 train to Penn Station. The ride wasn’t as quiet as last year in either direction, but I didn’t mind.

When I got to Penn, I took the 1 train to 59th Street-Columbus Circle. I walked two blocks south and one block east to get to Carnegie Hall, taking pictures along the way:
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It was a 2:00 show:
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My seat was front row center again. I had the row all to myself. You’d think people would buy front row seats if they’re available, but not in this case.

I grabbed a few shots of the stage, and ceiling, before showtime:
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Lisa Hilton and the band were fashionably late, starting at 2:03. Lisa played piano with Ben Williams on bass and Rudy Royston on drums. Except where noted by an asterisk*, J.D. Allen and Ingrid Jensen rounded out the band on tenor saxophone and trumpet, respectively.

1/27 UPDATE: Here’s a shot from further back in the audience during the show:
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I’m to Ingrid’s left (screen right).

All but the last two songs in the set were from Lisa’s new album, Nocturnal, which comes out this Friday. Copies were on sale in the lobby and I bought one before entering the hall. Here is the set list:
1. Nocturnal (also on Horizons, 2015)
2. A Spark in the Night
3. Whirlwind
4. Seduction (also on Seduction, 1997; Cocktails at Eight, 2000; My Favorite Things, 2005; and The New York Sessions, 2007)
5. Willow Weep for Me (written by Ann Ronell)
Midnight Sonata:
6. Part I: Symphony of Blues
7. Part II: Desire (also on In the Mood for Jazz, 2003)
8. Part III: Midnight Stars
9. Twilight
10. An August Remembered (rewritten from “August 1999,” which was composed for Cocktails at Eight in 2000)
11. The Sky and the Ocean (from Horizons, 2015)
12. Stepping Into Paradise (from Getaway, 2013)

“A Spark in the Night” and “Midnight Stars” had a Latin feel to them. “Midnight Stars,” in particular, sounded like a bullfighter song at one point. “Nocturnal,” “Seduction,” and “Twilight” sounded as good as they did last year. “Whirlwind” was a whirlwind. I loved it. I remember August 1999: Tony Gwynn and Wade Boggs achieved the 3,000th hits of their eventual Hall of Fame careers, I had two weeks of diagnostic vocational evaluation at Abilities, Inc., in Albertson, and I spent an afternoon at Splish Splash water park in Riverhead. I thought of all that as I listened to “An August Remembered.” Unlike on the Nocturnal album version, which was a solo performance, the band accompanied Lisa.

I caught up with Lisa after the show and we posed for this picture:
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I was caught off guard when I looked out the window and saw snow falling. And it was accumulating. But the end result was merely a coating. As I type, there may be more significant snowfall at the end of the week.

“See you next year,” I said to Lisa after we said our goodbyes. Year 3 at Carnegie Hall was a success. Thanks to Lisa, Ben, Rudy, J.D., and Ingrid.

The Jeff Lorber Fusion at Birdland January 11, 2016

Posted by Mike C. in Jazz, Music, Personal, Photography, Travel.
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My first show of 2016 was the Jeff Lorber Fusion at Birdland Jazz Club. I had last seen Jeff at the Blue Note in June 2014. This was my first time back at Birdland since I saw Yellowjackets on November 17, 2006, my 25th birthday. Coincidentally, Yellowjackets were also celebrating 25 years at the time. I plan on seeing them at Birdland this April.

The Jeff Lorber Fusion were in the middle of a five-night engagement at Birdland when my girlfriend and I went to see them on Thursday night.

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Jeff Lorber was on keyboard:
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…piano…:
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…and both simultaneously:
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Jimmy Haslip played bass:
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Andy Snitzer was on tenor saxophone:
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…but played soprano saxophone on “Chinese Medicinal Herbs” and “Up On This”:
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Lionel Cordew rounded out the band on drums:
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Each night had shows at 8:30 and 11:00. Here is the set list for Thursday’s 8:30 show:

1. Chinese Medicinal Herbs
Originally heard on: “The Jeff Lorber Fusion,” 1977; “Now is the Time,” 2010

2. He Had a Hat
Originally heard on: “He Had a Hat,” 2007

3. Get Up
Originally heard on: “Step It Up,” 2015

4. Hacienda
Originally heard on: “Hacienda,” 2013

5. Rain Dance
Originally heard on: “Water Sign,” 1979; “Now is the Time,” 2010

6. Montserrat
Originally heard on: “Galaxy,” 2012

7. Up On This
Originally heard on: “Step It Up,” 2015

8. Anthem for a New America/Tune 88
Originally heard on: “He Had a Hat,” 2007/”Water Sign,” 1979; “Flipside,” 2005

Photographically, I figured out how to shoot great pictures in low light without raising the ISO too high. The trick was to shoot in shutter-priority mode rather than aperture-priority mode. Once I found a good shutter speed, 1/30 second, I was ready to go.

With that in mind, here are various shots of each band member, starting with Jeff Lorber:
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Jimmy Haslip:
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Andy Snitzer on tenor sax:
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…and soprano sax:
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Lionel Cordew’s “Get Up” drum solo:
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A few wide shots:
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The end of “Tune 88”:
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After my girlfriend chatted with Andy and Jeff. Then, we headed for home. It was another great night of music for us. Thank you, Jeff, Jimmy, Andy, and Lionel.

2015 in review December 30, 2015

Posted by Mike C. in Airchecks, Audio, Internet, Jazz, Media, Music, News, Personal, Photography, Radio, Weather.
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The following is an excerpt of an end-of-year post WordPress created for MikeChimeri.com. Scroll down for my editorial.

The WordPress.com stats helper monkeys prepared a 2015 annual report for this blog.

Here’s an excerpt:

The concert hall at the Sydney Opera House holds 2,700 people. This blog was viewed about 9,400 times in 2015. If it were a concert at Sydney Opera House, it would take about 3 sold-out performances for that many people to see it.

Click here to see the complete report.

2015 was an on-and-off year for MikeChimeri.com. But when we were on, there was plenty to write about: eight jazz shows, five WCWP events, five winter storms (plus more that I didn’t post pictures from), this website’s 10th anniversary, and a bit more. Check the archives (screen left) to see what I posted by month.

There will be more to write about in 2016. Until then, have a happy, healthy, and gainful new year.